Advanced Ball Handling
A ball screen (on-ball screen) is an off-ball player setting a legal screen for the ball handler.
Individual Skills
Expected Value and Points Per Possession
Expected Value and Points Per Possession is an individual basketball skill involving expected value (ev) quantifies the average point output of a.
Direct answer
What is Expected Value and Points Per Possession?
Expected Value and Points Per Possession is an individual basketball skill involving expected value (ev) quantifies the average point output of a.
Quick facts
| Category | Individual Skills |
|---|---|
| Source volume | Basketball Knowledge Vault/vol2_intermediate_building_your_game.md |
What it is
- Expected Value and Points Per Possession is an individual basketball skill involving expected value (ev) quantifies the average point output of a shot type given its likelihood of.
- A three-pointer with a 35% shot probability has EV = 3 × 0.35 = 1.05 points per possession.
- A two-pointer with a 50% shot probability has EV = 2 × 0.50 = 1.00 points per possession.
How it works
- A three-pointer with a 35% shot probability has EV = 3 × 0.35 = 1.05 points per possession.
- A two-pointer with a 50% shot probability has EV = 2 × 0.50 = 1.00 points per possession.
- These are nearly equivalent, explaining why three-point shooting has become critical.
- However, context matters: a 30% three-pointer (EV = 0.90) is worse than a 48% two-pointer (EV = 0.96), so situation-dependent shot selection is required.
- The highest-EV shot in the modern NBA for most teams is the wide-open corner three (36-38% average, EV ≈ 1.08-1.14); the next-highest is the at-rim shot (64-66% average, EV ≈ 1.28-1.32).
Bilingual terms
| English | Expected Value and Points Per Possession |
|---|---|
| Simplified Chinese | 期望值与每回合得分 |
| Traditional Chinese | 每回合預期價值與得分 |
Learn before and after
These graph neighbors help place Expected Value and Points Per Possession in the larger basketball map.
Related concepts
Coming Off Screen Tight and Hip-to-Hip Contact
Coming off tight" means the handler moves through the screening area immediately after the screener is set, maintaining hip-to-hip contact or nearly.
Pick-and-Roll Basics (Ball Handler)
Coming off tight" means the handler moves through the screening area immediately after the screener is set, maintaining hip-to-hip contact or nearly.
Reading Defender Hips and Feet
Reading Defender Hips and Feet: Defenders' intentions are communicated through hip and foot position before they move.
The Sprint-and-Seal
A sprint-and-seal is a technique where a screener sprints toward the screening location, establishes the screen with perfect footwork (feet set.
Using Ball Screens as a Handler
A ball screen (on-ball screen) is an off-ball player setting a legal screen for the ball handler.
Advanced Ball Handling
A ball screen (on-ball screen) is an off-ball player setting a legal screen for the ball handler.